Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.027304 2.425327 2.871978 3.409013 4.035805 4.742793 5.599160
2026-01-18 1.456678 1.961719 2.589889 3.423167 4.493343 5.814787 7.562372
2026-01-25 1.064947 1.585495 2.291231 3.306282 4.714721 6.583545 9.230917
2026-02-01 0.805740 1.310024 2.046896 3.182770 4.865134 7.235099 10.787588
2026-02-08 0.652157 1.145943 1.916291 3.176927 5.150816 8.075163 12.670072
2026-02-15 0.540617 1.019970 1.813614 3.184023 5.438403 8.929610 14.645146
2026-02-22 0.446720 0.901701 1.698399 3.144724 5.634958 9.650939 16.475307
2026-03-01 0.355518 0.767673 1.530576 2.985298 5.603441 9.993862 17.725377
2026-03-08 0.298561 0.685936 1.440237 2.943913 5.759769 10.648594 19.533302
2026-03-15 0.254871 0.621275 1.369844 2.925727 5.949192 11.369884 21.510796
2026-03-22 0.237075 0.608023 1.397558 3.097610 6.505537 12.781617 24.808668
2026-03-29 0.213872 0.577627 1.384594 3.184948 6.907613 13.948137 27.764376
2026-04-05 0.196300 0.557802 1.392868 3.321133 7.429178 15.399064 31.397250
2026-04-12 0.171456 0.514612 1.342360 3.324902 7.683877 16.369804 34.222715
2026-04-19 0.143061 0.455355 1.244209 3.208076 7.671348 16.816884 36.082178
2026-04-26 0.119174 0.402275 1.150903 3.087016 7.632124 17.201738 37.845764
2026-05-03 0.104538 0.372069 1.109141 3.081059 7.844604 18.116233 40.740520
2026-05-10 0.092457 0.346515 1.074831 3.087874 8.085673 19.109766 43.874864
2026-05-17 0.080312 0.317505 1.025782 3.049630 8.215633 19.874678 46.590290
2026-05-24 0.066075 0.277344 0.937526 2.894595 8.044793 19.962735 47.866969
2026-05-31 0.057418 0.254214 0.894373 2.854352 8.151282 20.678029 50.559832
2026-06-07 0.050525 0.235561 0.861177 2.836669 8.312273 21.530550 53.621266
2026-06-14 0.048838 0.236740 0.890713 3.003802 8.971706 23.598924 59.573126